Tóm tắt Luận án Impacts of afta on government revenue, external trade and FDI of Lao PDR

Firstly, with respect to economic growth, though the Lao economy has grown up with robust rates, Lao PDR has been generally considered in the early stage of economic development process. Should it desire to move out from this development stages, it is suggested that it would be better for the GOL to continue to increase its expenditure – expansionary fiscal policy – on socio-economic infrastructure in order to clear the ground for the country to step forward to industrialization in the wake of globalization. By doing so, there would be possibly numerous domestic enterprises and FDI increase in Laos. At this juncture, it is projected that the exports would gradually increase and exceed the imports, which would also bring about the mitigation on trade balance. The deficits on the trade balance of Lao PDR would improve and become surplus in the long term. On the other hand, though Lao PDR has the fastest GDP growth rates in the region, it is still necessary for the country to work hard on developmental issues to prepare for economic integration in order to meet the goals set by the Asian Economic Community by 2015.

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